Wise words from former president Gerald Ford:
A government big enough to give you everything you want is a government big enough to take from you everything you have.Saw this quote on Instapundit, where it was attributed to the Gipper.
Marc
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A government big enough to give you everything you want is a government big enough to take from you everything you have.Saw this quote on Instapundit, where it was attributed to the Gipper.
Marc
AZ Kerry 46, Clark 24, Dean 13Well, if those turn out to be right, it looks like Dean is finished, and Edwards is the alternative to Kerry. Dean's plan to wait out these primaries and emerge as the alternative to Kerry could only have worked if Kerry swept the board and knocked everyone else out.
MO Kerry 52, Edwards 23, Dean 10
SC Edwards 44, Kerry 30, Sharpton 10
OK Edwards 31, Kerry 29, Clark 28
DE Kerry 47, Dean 14, Lieberman 11, Edwards 11
Now it's Edwards who will benefit from the inevitable Muskie Kerry backlash. Edwards is the only guy who really scares me running against Bush.
Marc
There was good news for skiers today as the world's most famous furry forecaster saw his shadow on Groundhog Day, predicting six more weeks of winter.Halftime Show:
It appeared that Timberlake ripped Jackson's outfit as he reached out to her, revealing her breast with what appeared to be a sun-shaped silver nipple ring.Marc
In a Wednesday interview, McAuliffe voiced personal support for keeping New Hampshire's primary and Iowa's caucus the nation's first tests of candidate strength. But he estimated that 90 percent of the Democratic National Committee's members wants to eliminate their leadoff positions. Iowa holds the nation's first caucus eight days before New Hampshire's primary.MarcMcAuliffe said New Hampshire's record voter turnout was "first and foremost" helpful for the state. But he said that to change minds on the DNC, "The second part of it is even more critical. New Hampshire needs to make itself a blue state in November 2004." That means the state needs to give its four electoral votes to the Democratic nominee, not President George W. Bush.
Rivals including front-runner John F. Kerry are buying TV ads in South Carolina and other states holding primaries or caucuses Tuesday, but the former Vermont governor has chosen to forgo further advertising in this round, focusing instead on the Feb. 7 caucuses in Michigan and Washington state, campaign officials said. The decision marks a notable shift in fortunes for an innovative candidate who revolutionized fundraising via the Internet and led all Democrats in 2003 by collecting nearly $41 million.The Deanyboppers on the blog are starting to sound worried:
People need some guidance here :} Need to know where we are going..whats going on with the ads..if money situation is ok-You guys NEED to address this in a thread...please :}Now Dean has to pray that everybody else drops out after Feb. 3, or else this strategy is a bust. How much do you want to bet that Brokaw asks Dean about money during the debate tonight?Could someone please explain to me how we can possibly be in financial trouble with a reported $42 million raised and a million on the bat this week?
I'm so nervous. please show us you can win. i'm a bit upset about pulling all ads in feb 7th states. wouldn't it be nice if you guys could make stunning ads and run them 2 days before the election? or right after super bowl sunday?
WHAT THE HELL HAPPENED TO THE MONEY?!? Just three weeks ago it looked like WE had the best operation going - and now we can't even afford to put up ads in the next seven states? I think HQ owes us all a frank explanation as to where our money has gone, and why it wasn't used more effectively to get us the nomination, let alone take on George W. Bush.
Marc
The Washington Post's Michael Wilbon is spending the week in Houston covering the game. So far this week he's written columns about the Panthers GM, Patriots place kicker Adam Vinatieri, and Panthers return specialist, part-time running back and former XFL star Rod Smart (a.k.a. He Hate Me). Not exactly the Mt. Rushmore of professional football.
In spite of this, many observers (myself included) are expecting a good game between two teams who match-up well. Much to the NFL's chagrin, they're not going to be able to sell McNabb, or Manning or Dante Hall or, well, anybody. Now they've got to sell the game itself...and they gave themselves two weeks to do that.
The Super Bowl is not about football fans. Conference Championship Sunday is about real football fans. The Super Bowl is about drinking, and parties, and food and commercials. It is the game as happening. The snag in this year's plan is that, while the game presents interesting matchups that true football fans will revel in, the star-power to fuel the hype for two weeks simply isn't there. No other year has provided such a clear example that the NFL's occassional use of an extra week between Conference Championship Sunday and the Super Bowl is a bad policy. In this year's case, neither team had the ability or desire to fuel the hype machine for an extra week. On the reverse side, when teams do have bonafide superstars, the game is often over-hyped, leading to dissappointment no matter the outcome. I understand the league's desire to extend its season, and its ability to make money, by keeping the extra week. But the NFL must realize that the fans are happier and the games are often better (or at least seem better) when we've only got one week to wait.
Tony
On January 24, before the first vote was cast in New Hampshire's Democratic primary, the League of Conservation Voters (LCV) endorsed Senator John Kerry (D., Mass.) for president. Weeks earlier, in an entirely unrelated matter, the Heinz Family Foundation provided an "unrestricted-use" grant of a quarter million dollars to a group represented on the LCV board.Specifically, the Heinz Foundation awarded a $250,000 Heinz Award grant to Peggy Shepard of West Harlem Environmental Action in December. Shepard sits on the board of directors for the national LCV.
From the Heinz Foundation press release:
In addition to the $250,000 award for their unrestricted use, recipients are presented with a medallion inscribed with the image of Senator Heinz. On its reverse side is a rendering of a globe passing between two hands, symbolizing partnership, continuity and values carried on to the next generation.Marc
Finally, John Kerry takes all the fun out of Dean-o-phobia. Indeed, if there's anybody who could make Dean attractive, it's Kerry. Kerry is a miserable candidate, bereft of political skills, and possessing of a record and a persona tailor-made for Karl Rove. The Republicans will merely have to say about Kerry what they said about Gore--that he wants to be on every side of every issue, that he's culturally out of touch with mainstream America, that he's a pompous bore--and this time the sale will be easier, because all these things are far more true of Kerry than of Gore.And:
I'd take Kerry over Dean, but it's a choice of defeat over disaster, akin to--as my colleague Frank Foer puts it--the Republicans selecting Bob Dole over Pat Buchanan in 1996.There's your slogan, Democrats: John Kerry - the Democratic Bob Dole!
Marc
| 1/24-26 | 1/23-25 | 1/22-24 | 1/21-23 | 1/20-22 | 1/19-21 | 1/18-20 |
Kerry | 37% | 31% | 30% | 31% | 30% | 27% | 23% |
Dean | 24 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 25 |
Edwards | 12 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Clark | 9 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
Lieberman | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Kucinich | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Sharpton | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 |
Undecided | 3* | 3* | 13 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
16 |
Zogby explains Kerry's overnight 10-point (!) pickup thusly:
For Kerry the dam burst after 5PM on Monday. Kerry had a huge day as Undecideds broke his way by a factor of four to one over Dean. Dean recaptured a strong lead among 18-29 year olds, Northerners, singles and Progressives. He narrowed the gap among men, and college educated, however Kerry opened up huge leads among women, union voters, and voters over 65 years of age. These groups gave Kerry the big momentum heading into the primary.Translation:
Marc
The other big story of the night was Senator John Edwards (D-NC), who did worse (at least in my opinion) than expected by coming in a very close fourth, behind Retired Army General Wesley Clark. Edwards spent part of yesterday deflecting reporters' suggestions that he's running for the Vice Presidency. I felt that a strong third-place finish for Edwards, one where he was closer to number two than four, would emnable him to get some sort of bounce out of New Hampshire as the race moves down South. Tuesdays' resutls showed, however, that Edwards was unable to deliver the knockout punch that takes Clark out of the race and winnows the field to Kerry, Dean and Edwards.
Senator Joe Lieberman (D-CT) failed to pull double digits in a state he had placed all of his resources in. I suspect poor finishes all around next Tuesday, and a signifcant lack of cash pushes Lieberman out of the contest by next Wednesday.
Personally, I had it Dean, Kerry, Edwards, Lieberman, Clark. So, you can take the rest of my commentary with a grain of salt if you'd like. I think Kerry can end any kind of serious challenge by placing a strong second in South Carolina (a state where he recently picked up the endorsement of Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC), South Carolina's most powerful black politician) and a win in Missouri (where neighboring governor Tom Vilsack of Iowa will campaign for Kerry). Unless Kerry does something unimaginable, I think he'll be the clear nominee by next Wednesday. It wouldn't surprise me to see Dean compete for Super Tuesday votes, but I don't expect any kind of contested convention.
Tony