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We Three Jerks
Sunday, 25 January 2004
Comeback Kid?
ARG's New Hampshire tracking poll has Kerry at 38%, with Dean, Edwards, and Clark bunched up between 15% and 18%. Zogby gives Kerry a 30%-23% lead over Dean.

If Kerry ends up in the low 30's, with Dean coming in second in the low 20's, does that make Dean the 'Comeback Kid' in a two-man race? Now Dean's "I Have A Scream" speech helps him, just as Clinton's Gennifer Flowers fiasco helped to lower expectations. Clinton lost to Paul Tsongas by almost 10 points in the '92 primary, but gained the momentum and narrowed the field.

John Ellis says of a strong second-place Dean finish:

The Rule of Two [i.e. Fiji Math] would thus require the scribes to frame the race as Kerry vs. Dean. But they've long since decided that Dean is a goner. Cognitive dissonance crisis grips the Sheraton Wayfarer.
The 'Comeback Dean' thesis is helped by the fact that the media HATES Kerry.

Marc

Posted by thynkhard at 11:14 AM EST
Updated: Sunday, 25 January 2004 11:15 AM EST
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